Climate Risk Profile for Papua and Papua Barat
By Terry Hills - Technical Advisor (Climate Change Adaption)
Conservation International
Abstract
Climate change is a global problem with local impacts – we need to ’avoid the unmanageable’ by making contributions to the global effort to stabilize greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere, but also ‘manage the unavoidable’ by understanding the likely local impacts of climate change and taking action to help ‘climate-proof’ economic development and livelihoods.
This paper seeks to support development and conservation decision-makers in Papua and Papua Barat to make the best use of available information on climate risk as part of their decision-making – taking steps to ‘manage the unavoidable’. It includes an overview of the likely changes to temperature, precipitation, ocean acidity, sea level rise and climate-related extreme events for the Papuan provinces.
In addition, the paper outlines the broad levels of uncertainty associated with these climate projections to facilitate decision-making that weighs the cost of building climate resilience into planning decisions against the risk of inaction. Additionally, approaches that will reduce the risk profile of climate-sensitive investment decisions are described, supporting the identification of solutions for application at various scales in areas of high potential vulnerability.
Finally, the potential of ecosystem-based adaptation (EbA) is suggested as an important part of these climate solutions in the Papuan provinces. EbA aims to build climate-proof development outcomes by using the potential for ecosystems to act as a ‘bio-shield’ for climate change.
Full Paper download here
By Terry Hills - Technical Advisor (Climate Change Adaption)
Conservation International
Abstract
Climate change is a global problem with local impacts – we need to ’avoid the unmanageable’ by making contributions to the global effort to stabilize greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere, but also ‘manage the unavoidable’ by understanding the likely local impacts of climate change and taking action to help ‘climate-proof’ economic development and livelihoods.
This paper seeks to support development and conservation decision-makers in Papua and Papua Barat to make the best use of available information on climate risk as part of their decision-making – taking steps to ‘manage the unavoidable’. It includes an overview of the likely changes to temperature, precipitation, ocean acidity, sea level rise and climate-related extreme events for the Papuan provinces.
In addition, the paper outlines the broad levels of uncertainty associated with these climate projections to facilitate decision-making that weighs the cost of building climate resilience into planning decisions against the risk of inaction. Additionally, approaches that will reduce the risk profile of climate-sensitive investment decisions are described, supporting the identification of solutions for application at various scales in areas of high potential vulnerability.
Finally, the potential of ecosystem-based adaptation (EbA) is suggested as an important part of these climate solutions in the Papuan provinces. EbA aims to build climate-proof development outcomes by using the potential for ecosystems to act as a ‘bio-shield’ for climate change.
Full Paper download here